From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In January and February, we cautioned that we wanted to be selling stocks, raising cash and buying bonds due to bearish divergences and deteriorating market internals. At the same time, many major indexes and sectors had achieved our upside objectives and were at logical levels of potential resistance.

The Global Equity Market collapsed and the S&P 500 fell 35% soon after, blowing a hole in the long-term uptrend in most major indexes around the world.

In late March we wrote about bullish breadth divergences and the key levels of interest that made us want to err on the long-side over the near-term.

That ended up being the tradeable low we were looking for as stocks gained 30% and retraced more...

On our monthly conference call this week, we talked a lot about key levels in the most important asset classes in the world.

As promised, here's a run down of the 20 items on our checklist. I promise you the world is not ending if there are an overwhelming amount of yeses on this list.

Let's use this as a risk management gauge. I think this will help us answer the question of, How defensive should we be?

We made a spreadsheet internally for this and we'll send you regular updates and keep discussing this list as new data comes in.

In yesterday's Chart Summit, we spoke a lot about the relative strength in the Nifty Pharma sector. (You can watch the full videos of all the presenters for free.)

We got a lot of follow-up questions about a specific stock, Glenmark Pharma, so let's take a look and assess its absolute and relative trends.

In yesterday's Chart Summit, we presented our view on the major asset classes around the globe and noted what we need to see before getting bullish Equities again. (You can watch the full videos of all the presenters for free.)

Unfortunately, current conditions suggest continued volatility so we're looking for short setups to take advantage of it in the coming days/weeks.

Let's take a look at our broader thesis and what stocks and indexes we're shorting to express it in the market.

Since late March we've been watching to see how the counter-trend rally in stocks would develop...and while a few stocks under the surface continue to rally, the Nifty 50 remains stuck below its 2015-2016 highs and most stocks remain in downtrends.

Today we saw the Nifty 50 fail to hold above resistance at 9,000, providing us with a clear level to trade against on the short side to see if bears can retake control of this market. If we do see...

Did you notice how shares of Advanced Micro Devices are trying to finally break out of this 20-year base?

This is a long-term candlestick chart I brought up on our Monthly Conference Call last night.  I used a line chart just to show how clean it is.

The "Multi-decade breakout" thesis is only valid if we're above those 2000 highs. If not, then by definition, it's not a breakout.

That level for me is $44:

A question we're getting a lot these days is when the market ultimately does bottom, do we want to be buying the stocks that have been hit the most or the ones that have held up the best during the market's fall?

As with most things in markets and in life, the answer is it depends. In this post, we'll explain why.

We're all stuck at home these days and Zoom is how we get to hang out with friends and family.

This week I was chatting with my pal Jeremy over in Laguna Beach about Gold, Silver and Gold Mining Stocks.

I think there are some good opportunities in the space and I think there are areas in which to be patient.

Here's a short video of our discussion:

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Every weekend we publish simple performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with brief commentary on each.

As this is something we do internally on a daily basis, we believe sharing it with clients will add value and help them better understand our top-down approach. We use these tables to provide insight into both relative strength and market internals.

This week we want to highlight our US Equity Index and Factor tables, as they are both showing near-term reversions in some of the most robust long-term intermarket trends.

Click on table to enlarge view.

This week we saw Mid (MDY), Small (IWM) and Micro-Caps (IWC) outperform the Large-Cap Indexes. If you look at the 1 and 3-month change data, you will notice this was a real divergence from the current trends across market-cap segments. In fact, Large-Caps have been outperforming their...

Earlier this week we discussed an indicator that uses the 200-day moving average to help identify a sustainable low in Indian Equities.

Today, we've got another indicator we're watching closely. Something we call the Breadth of Momentum measure here at All Star Charts.

Yesterday we published a post titled "The Reality Regarding Real Estate" in which we pointed out the long-term underperformance of REITs as a sector. And although we see no signs of this trend reversing any time soon, when we dug into the space we couldn't help but notice a select group of stocks outperforming not just Real Estate, but the broader market as well.

In this post, we will illustrate the relentless strength from this niche group of Data-Center and Cell-Tower REITs and offer two trade ideas in the space.

We also wrote a post lately in which we filtered the S&P 500 down to just 32 of its strongest performers based on a variety of metrics. Despite the weakness from Real Estate as a whole, five of the stocks on that list are actually components in our All Star Charts Custom Data-Center & Cell-Tower REIT Index.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Thanks to everyone for participating in this week’s Mystery Chart. The vast majority of respondents were either sellers or wanted nothing to do with this messy mess of a chart. Some of our less risk-averse participants were willing to bet on a failed breakdown and buy a reversal back above the recent lows.

In our opinion, this is the definition of a structural downtrend and there is very little evidence to suggest that will change anytime soon. With that as our backdrop let's discuss why this chart is on our radar right now.

This is a weekly line chart of Real Estate (IYR) vs the S&P 500 (SPY) looking back about 20-years.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In our Table Of The Week, we highlighted some of the strongest stocks in the S&P 500 right now. We showed statistical evidence that these stocks have not only performed better over the long-run, but they've also suffered smaller drawdowns in the near-term.

Despite remaining skeptical of what is still a bear market rally in our opinion, there are always opportunities on the long side, we just need to pick our spots carefully and respect our risk management levels. In this post, we're going to outline trade setups in what we believe are some of the most robust uptrends still in place.

If the market moves higher from here, these stocks should continue to exhibit leadership. If it rolls over, they should hold up better than the average stock and our risk will be well-defined to ensure minimal losses in the case we're wrong.