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Technical Analysis Radio Podcast Episode 100 w/ JC Parets & Ralph Acampora

January 31, 2020

I can't believe I'm publishing the 100th Episode of this podcast that I started in the summer of 2017. My first guest ever was Ralph Acampora! I mean, how could it not be right? Since then I've had the privilege of interviewing Portfolio Managers, Traders, Analysts, Best Selling Authors and even a World Series of Poker Champion! People all over the world have approached me how much they've learned from listening to the podcasts. It's been an amazing experience for me all around.

Two Uncorrelated Trades With "High" Potential

January 30, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

With our upside price objectives being met across in Equity markets across the globe, we've shifted our focus to buying Bonds and selling Emerging Market stocks with the expectation of a choppy environment for stocks as an asset class over the coming weeks and months.

With that said, just because the indexes may be choppy there will be winners and losers that we can take advantage of long and short.

In light of that, today we're reiterating our view on two pot stocks we outlined weeks ago that are still actionable and uncorrelated with the broader market.

Nifty Energy Index Makes New Relative Lows

January 29, 2020

In our last post, we wrote about two stocks we wanted to be avoided as they're showing relative weakness.

Today our attention turns to the Energy Sector which is making 1-year lows relative to the Nifty 500. Let's take a look.

A Non-Random Walk With Small-Caps

January 27, 2020

Ok so if you're not caught up with our approach to the market right now, I encourage you to read both "We're Buying Bonds" and "Selling Emerging Markets" from this weekend.

Today I want to talk about the non-randomness of markets. I think the Russell2000 Small-cap Index is a great example to walk through. For one, it helps you understand the way we look at markets, but selfishly it's also great because it reiterates a lot of principles that I want to continue to focus on moving forward. Writing helps. Everyone wins. 

We're Selling Emerging Market Stocks

January 26, 2020

In case you missed it yesterday, we're selling stocks up here and buying bonds.

I tried to outline the levels as best as I could. Let me know if you have any questions!

Quickly today, I just wanted to point out one chart of Emerging Markets that really stands out. Remember this Index is broken down as follows: China 32.40%, South Korea 11.84%, Taiwan 11.71%, India 8.13%, Brazil 6.78%, South Africa 4.25% & Russia 3.84%. 

It's basically 72% Asia and 10% Latin America.

Here's what it looks like:

It's Time! We're Buying Bonds Now

January 25, 2020

I like to keep an open mind. When the data suggests getting more aggressive towards stocks, that's what we're going to do. When the data points a more defensive approach, then that's what we'll do too.

We've had a heck of a run in stocks since the summer, and now I think it's time for a break, at least at the index level. Remember, regardless of overall market conditions there will still always be some stocks going up and some going down. In fact, I think Utilities see some outperformance here and I listed which stocks we want to own. So far they're working.

Anyway, so why the new defensive position? Well, the things we said needed to happen for us to pull back are starting to happen. It's really as simple as that.

Let's get into it:

Managing Risk As Spencer's Retail Ltd. Reverses Trend

January 23, 2020

We've gotten a few questions about the stock, Spencer's Retail Ltd., since it rallied more than 50% over the last few weeks on news of a large shareholder building a position.

The question now is, can this run continue and how do we define our risk if involved in the stock?

Let's take a look.